Iran oil halt 'would raise price 30 per cent' - warns IMF

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that global crude prices could rise as much as 30 per cent if Iran halted oil exports as a result of US and European Union sanctions.

If Iran halts exports to countries without offsets from other sources, it would likely trigger an "initial" oil price jump of 20 to 30 per cent, or about $20 to $30 per barrel, the IMF said in its first public comment on a possible Iranian oil supply disruption.

The price impact caused by a cut in Iranian exports could be exacerbated by below average oil stocks in many countries, the result of tight oil market conditions through much of last year, the IMF said.

Read more: Al Jazeera

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West readies oil plan in case of Iran crisis

[ via Reuters  ] 6 Jan

The Western countries are powers reading themselves to brace the oil crisis should the same drop after sanctions on Iran or if the Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz.

Senior executives of the International Energy Agency (IEA), which advises 28 oil consuming countries, are said to have discussed on Thursday an existing plan to release up to 14 million barrels per day (bpd) of government-owned oil stored in the United States, Europe, Japan and other importers.

Action on this scale would be more than five times the size of the biggest release in the agency's history -- made in response to Iraq's 1990 invasion of Kuwait.

Read more:Reuters

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